The more global the economy has become, the more geopolitical in character it has remained...... Nsikan Nyauko.

Analyses

Revisiting the Discourse on Free Trade

Revisiting the Discourse on Free Trade.

International trade is constructed through overlapping commitments, national authority and economic power and iterated through successive negotiations over tariffs, discrimination, market access and the conditions under which national governments retain or exercise authority. The multilateral system depends less on the elimination of national discretion than on the rules that mediate its exercise.

What warrants reconsideration is the meaning attached to free trade. Much of the discourse still conceives trade openness as a movement along a single spectrum between liberalisation and protectionism. Governments operate within a web of multilateral commitments, regional agreements, domestic regulation, industrial policy, security policy and preferences that determine different conditions of market entry and competition, resulting in a system in which liberalisation, regulation and state intervention become intertwined. For developing economies, participation in a rules-based trading system does not determine the capacity to trade. Law, politics and economic power have continued to influence who benefits from international trade and on what terms.

Free trade has never existed outside political choice. States have accepted limits on the pursuit of national advantage even as the terms of exchange have changed. As trade becomes more closely bound to security and industrial policy, the multilateral system will be judged by whether restraint can still hold when national power fights hardest against it.

Disclaimer

The scope of this analysis may differ according to its intended use. Unless otherwise agreed in relation to a specific mandate, it was not prepared by reference to the circumstances or requirements of any particular audience. Nothing in it constitutes investment advice or a determination of its suitability or appropriateness for a particular recipient. The material reflects the evidence and conditions relevant to the period examined and may be affected by subsequent developments. Users are responsible for determining the relevance of its content to their circumstances and for obtaining appropriate advice where a decision requires specialist judgement.

About the Chief Analyst

Nsikan Nyauko, Chief Analyst and Chair, Country & Sector Portfolio.

Nsikan Nyauko is an economist and Chartered Management Consultant with decades of cross-industry experience and a range of postgraduate qualifications spanning Economics, Big Data and Analytics, International Affairs and Diplomacy, International Commercial Law, Digital Transformation, Project Management, Business and Management, and Public Health. He serves the Centre as Faculty, Executive Development and Lead Advisor, Group Regional Programme for EMEA, APAC and the Americas. He has built relationships across industry, government, international organisations, academia, think tanks and civil society and has developed policy and strategy papers to support decision-making by corporations and sovereign entities.

Associate Analysts Nadine Karam; Marek Zieliński; Yun-seo Han; Camila Arriagada; Elias Nordström; Graham Bellamy

Independent Perspectives